Models
According to ESPN Magazine, the NCAA tournament is one of the most wagered-on events in sports. Veteran bookmakers estimate bets range from $12 billion to $26 billion (roughly the GDP of Honduras). If you are looking for that edge to improve your office pool odds, take a look at this @RISK model of the 2015 NCAA tournament, built by Andrew Pulvermacher of Nighthawk Intelligence. Using publicly available data, you will be able to tame March Madness by managing uncertainty.