Whitepapers & Briefs

Modeling Financial Scenarios: A Framework for the Actuarial Profession

A Case for Simulation

Transmission of foot and mouth disease at the wildlife/livestock interface of the Kruger National Park, South Africa: Can the risk be mitigated?

Coastal Inundation at Narrabeen Lagoon: Optimising Adaptation Investment

Novel offshore vertical axis wind turbines

A participatory approach for integrating risk assessment into rural decision-making: A case study in Santa Catarina, Brazil

Cancer Risks After Radiation Exposure in Middle Age

Hitting Three Birds with One Stone: Using a Case Study of United Way in Classroom Teaching

Practical Calculation of Expected and Unexpected Losses in Operational Risk by Simulation Methods

Using Decision Analysis to Explore Cable Television Delivery

Financial Risk Inherent in Oil Fracking

Modeling Financial Scenarios: A Framework for the Actuarial Profession

Investment and Risk Analysis Applied to the Petroleum Industry

Combining Preference Theory and CAPM Efficient Frontier: Towards and Optimum Portfolio of Upstream Projects

Why Sex? Monte Carlo Simulations of Survival After Catastrophes

Monte Carlo method for determining earthquake recurrence parameters from short paleoseismic catalogs: Example calculations for California

Monte Carlo Simulation for Schedule Risks

The Joint Confidence Level Paradox at NASA: A History of Denial

A Comparison of Failure Probability Estimates by Monte Carlo Sampling and Latin Hypercube Sampling

Monte Carlo simulation and remote sensing applied to agricultural survey sampling strategy in Taita Hills, Kenya

Information Analysis Using PrecisionTree

Factor of Safety and Probability of Failure with @RISK

Examination of Pig Farm Technology by Computer Simulation

Evaluating Risk Management Alternatives for Indiana Crop Producers

Estimating the Cost of Preventive Services in Mental Health and Substance Abuse Under Managed Care

Introduction to Engineering Reliability

Assessing Your Own Risk and Solvency Or, Said Differently… “How Risky are We?”

Drug Development: Valuing the Pipeline – a UK study

@RISK for the Highway Contractor

Decision Analysis for Medical Applications

Prediction of Aftershocks Distribution Using Artificial Neural Networks

Cost of Universal Influenza Vaccination of Children in Pediatric Practices

A Case Study of Fall versus Spring Calving for the Rocky Mountain West

Health and Economic Impact of Posttranfusion Hepatitis B

Quantitative Chemical Exposure Assessment for Water Recycling Schemes

Assessing Traffic and Revenue Studies for Tolled Facilities Using a Toll Viability Screen Tool built with @RISK

Trial Application of a Model of Resource Utilization, Costs, and Outcomes for Stroke (MORUCOS) to Assist Priority Setting in Stroke

Risk and Return for Bioenergy Crops under Alternative Contracting Arrangements

Cost Analysis of Various Low Pathogenic Avian Influenza Surveillance Systems in the Dutch Egg Layer Sector

Integrating Renewables with Electricity Storage

Stress Testing State Budgets under Alternative Business Cycle Scenarios

Ideal Pairing for Electricity Supply in SIC

Linking Mineral Systems Models to Quantitative Risk Analysis and Decision-Making in Exploration

On the Use of Ensemble Models for Credit Evaluation

Modeling the competitive market efficiency of Egyptian companies: A probabilistic neural network analysis

The Effectiveness of Using Project Management Tools and Techniques for Delivering Projects

Sustainability at UPS 2010

Incorporating Uncertainty into Dam Safety Risk Assessment

El VAN y el punto muerto financiero de un proyecto de inversión con una ecuación de demanda PQ=const en función de la tasa de descuento

Sufficiency Analysis in Surface Combatant Force Structure Studies

Monte Carlo Simulation-Based Supply Chain Disruption Management for War Games

Identifying Key Risks to the Development of a Pellet Manufacturing Plant Analysis of a 50,000 ton per year pellet manufacturing facility

Schedule Risk Analysis: Why It Is Important and How To Do It

Fast and Robust Monte Carlo CDO Sensitivities and their Efficient Object Oriented Implementation

Estimation of Uncertainty Distributions for Internal Flood Initiators Using Parametric Sensitivity Study

Ceramic coatings for jet engine turbine blades

Project Cost Risk Analysis: The Risk Driver Approach Prioritizing Project Risks and Evaluating Risk Responses

My algorithm said what?

Algorithms that were once the domain of mathematics specialists, computer programmers and rocket scientists are now an integral part of our every day lives, whether...

Research with a conscience

In its purest form, data manipulation is the process of changing data in an effort to make it easier to read or be more organized....

Natural Language Processing

When Joaquin Phoenix fell in love with ‘Samantha’, in the 2013 film ‘Her’, he sets about creating a meaningful relationship with an operating system that...