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On-demand
Accurate risk modeling starts with one of the most overlooked steps: selecting the right probability distribution.
Join Rafael Hartke, CEO of Imagine Risks and Analytics, for this session exploring how to identify and apply realistic distributions that best represent uncertainty across different projects and datasets.
You’ll learn:
- How distribution choice impacts model outcomes and decision confidence.
- Methods for interpreting and fitting data to identify realistic probability distributions.
- Practical techniques for implementing these distributions in Predict! and @RISK.
- Why distribution realism is essential for credible, defensible risk analysis.
Watch the other webinars in the Decoding Decision series:
Watch now
Speaker
Day 1
Rafael Hartke
CEO, Imagine Risks and Analytics
Rafael Hartke is CEO of Imagine Risks and Analytics, a consulting firm specialized in risk modeling, project valuation and data analytics, and provider of consulting services to a wide range of industries, including energy, oil&gas, mining, and finance. Our job is to translate complex concepts of statistics and business in a simple and straightforward way. We believe in mathematics to explain the world, in the power of teamwork, and in ethics as a value.
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