@RISK

Powerful probabilistic risk analysis software in Excel

Take control of uncertainty with @RISK—the tool that empowers your team to quantify and mitigate risks with confidence, all within Microsoft Excel. Whether you’re navigating financial markets, optimizing operations, or ensuring regulatory compliance, @RISK transforms complex uncertainties into actionable insights through Monte Carlo simulation—enabling data-driven decisions that drive business success.  

See all possible outcomes using Monte Carlo simulation with @RISK

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how @Risk works

How @RISK Works

@RISK (pronounced “at risk”) software is an add-in tool for Microsoft Excel that helps you make better decisions through risk modeling and analysis. It does this using a technique known as Monte Carlo simulation. @RISK’s Monte Carlo analysis computes and tracks many different possible future scenarios in your risk model, showing you the probability of each occurring. In this way, @RISK shows you virtually all possible outcomes for any situation. This probabilistic approach makes @RISK a powerful tool that you can use to judge which risks to take and which ones to avoid — critical insight in today’s uncertain world.

Seamlessly integrates with Microsoft Excel
Analyze uncertainty and uncover opportunity
Plan smarter with data-driven forecasts
Communicate risk clearly and confidently

Now connects with Predict! for end-to-end risk management

Endless Applications

As the pace of change in business continues to increase, organizations are challenged to increase margins and explore new opportunities for growth, all while reducing risk. @RISK is designed to meet these challenges, empowering teams to optimize capital projects from start to finish.
Investment Planning & Portfolio Optimization. Simulate multiple portfolio assets (such as stocks, bonds, real estate, or projects) to maximize return while minimizing risk. Calculate Value-at-Risk, or the probability of different losses on a portfolio.
Cost Estimation. Get an accurate probabilistic estimate of materials and labor costs throughout the entire project. Understand the likelihood of going over budget under a variety of scenarios.
Engineering Reliability. Using Six Sigma calculations, gain insight into confidence levels around the risk of equipment failure or safety violations. Identify areas of weakness to ensure quality results and prevent failures.
Capital Reserves. Probabilistically forecast future claims or losses in order to determine optimal reserve levels. Perform stress testing on high-impact, low-probability events.
Oil, Gas, & Mineral Reserves. Assess the likelihood of prospective sites containing oil, natural gas, metals, or other minerals. Probabilistically estimate reserves and production decline in order to make wise drilling decisions.
reduce risk with @risk
@RISk for better decisions

Get Insights for Better Decisions

While @RISK provides sophisticated analytics, don’t be intimidated. All techniques @RISK uses are intuitive applications that integrate seamlessly with your existing Excel spreadsheets and provide actionable results with point-and-click ease.
Monte Carlo Simulation. By sampling different possible inputs, @RISK calculates thousands of possible future outcomes and the chances they will occur. This helps you avoid likely hazards — and uncover hidden opportunities.
100% Excel Integration. @RISK integrates seamlessly with Excel’s function set and ribbon, letting you work in a familiar environment with results you can trust.
Sensitivity Analysis. @RISK identifies and ranks the most important factors driving your risks so you can plan strategies — and resources — accordingly.
Graphs and Reports. @RISK offers a wide variety of customizable, exportable graphing and reporting options that let you communicate risk to all stakeholders.
Extensive Modeling Features. With a broad library of probability distributions, data fitting tools, and correlation modeling, @RISK lets you represent any scenario in any industry with the highest level of accuracy.

Unlock key research findings on portfolio risk management

Rising regulations, market volatility, and global uncertainty are forcing organizations—especially in high-stakes sectors—to rethink capital project risk management. Discover what leading organizations are doing differently—and how executives can close the gap between insight and action in their capital projects in the “Global State of Risk Report.”

Customer Success Stories with @RISK

Learn how @RISK has helped decision makers to improve risk and decision analysis efforts.

From classroom to career: Equipping students with real-world analysis skills


Give your students a competitive edge by integrating @RISK into your business, finance, engineering, and decision science curriculum. From modeling uncertainty to making informed decisions, graduates who master @RISK enter the workforce ready to tackle real-world challenges with confidence.

Help students move beyond theoretical concepts to real-world decision-making with hands-on experience in statistical and risk analysis.
Real-world applications: Teach students to model investment risks, project management uncertainties, engineering design variations, and more.
Microsoft Excel integration: Provide a seamless learning experience by leveraging Excel’s familiar interface for risk analysis.
Common courses: Easily incorporate @RISK into corporate finance, investment analysis, operations research, project management, statistical modeling, and decision analysis curriculum.
In-demand skills: Develop expertise in identifying key risk factors, building probabilistic models, interpreting results, and communicating insights effectively.

Enterprise Licensing:
Better Research, Insights, and Outcomes for all

Lumivero has the most complete collection of research, data and decision-making tools available anywhere, and we can help your whole team work better together — collaborating to aggregate, organize, analyze, and present your findings.

Lumivero’s enterprise licensing options offer volume pricing for teams and organizations needing nine (9) or more licenses.

Enterprise licenses allow the flexibility to install Lumivero software and solutions on multiple computers (up to the maximum number of licenses your organization has purchased) with a centralized management solution, putting you in control of your license management.

Lumivero’s team-based solutions allow you to:

Stay up-to-date with free upgrades to the latest releases
Reduce IT costs with one platform deployed across your organization
Reassign licenses to different users as teams evolve
Centralize license and subscription management in one place
Streamline budget allocation, especially for smaller groups and consultancy firms
Enjoy a Dedicated Customer Success Manager and pro-rated rates for new users

@Risk Professional vs. Industrial edition: Key feature comparison

General
Interface
Modeling
Simulation
Simulation Results
Industrial Edition Features
RISKOptimizer
FeatureBenefitProfessional EditionIndustrial Edition
Monte Carlo simulationShows possible outcomes to avoid pitfalls and identify opportunities
100% Excel calculations for simulationHighest level of accuracy, and maximum use of multi-core processors for speed
FeatureBenefitProfessional EditionIndustrial Edition
Seamless Integration into Microsoft ExcelNever leave your spreadsheet; get up to speed quickly
Intuitive toolbars and right-click menus Easy navigation—multiple ways to perform common tasks
FeatureBenefitProfessional EditionIndustrial Edition
Distribution Palette and Insert Function commandEasy and accurate definition of uncertain factors
Distribution Fitting and Distribution ArtistUse data and expert judgment to define uncertain factors
Over 90 built-in distribution functionsRepresent virtually any uncertain factor for accurate modeling
@RISK Function SwapRemove (and later restore) @RISK functions for sharing models with non-@RISK users
Predefined DistributionsCreate customized distributions with your own parameters and names
Compound functionCombines two distributions into one, to streamline insurance or other large models
Percentile distribution parametersMore flexible ways to define uncertainty
Correlation and Copulas Standard correlation available, along with copulas, which provide sophisticated methods for correlating uncertain @RISK variables that allow more control over the correlation pattern
@RISK Data ViewerDisplay any spreadsheet data using all @RISK charts and graphing options
Excel Developer Kit (XDK)Automate and customize @RISK for Excel through a library of commands and functions that let you control every aspect of @RISK in your spreadsheet
FeatureBenefitProfessional EditionIndustrial Edition
Demo Mode and live updatingGraphs and reports update during simulation for illustration to others
Extensive settings controlCustomize simulations to specific needs
FeatureBenefitProfessional EditionIndustrial Edition
Fully customizable, presentation-quality graphsSee the impact of risk and communicate to stakeholders
Reporting in OfficeAll graphs and charts can be exported to Excel, Word, and PowerPoint in native chart format for easy distribution to others
Customized Excel ReportsCreate exactly the simulation results reports you want directly in Excel, automatically formatted for optimal viewing. Apply Excel themes to your graphs.
Histograms, area, line, cumulative, summary, box plot, and overlay graphsVariety of graphing and charting options for easy, accurate communication
Tornado charts and scatter plotsVisually identify critical factors and trends, overall and for particular scenarios
Sensitivity and Scenario AnalysisIdentify the individual tasks that have the most impact on results, and the particular scenarios that lead to certain results
Six Sigma functionsReport Six Sigma statistics for quality analysis
Stress AnalysisLets you control the range that is sampled from a distribution function, enabling you to see how different scenarios affect your bottom line without changing your model
Advanced Sensitivity AnalysisLets you see how changes in any input—distributions or regular values—affect simulation results
@RISK Goal SeekUses multiple simulations to find an input value that achieves a target simulation result you specify
FeatureBenefitProfessional EditionIndustrial Edition
Simulation of Time-series forecastsUnderstand the risks in values that change over time
Correlation of Time SeriesIt is possible to correlate two or more time-series functions so that during each iteration the array of values returned by the individual time series are subject to the specified correlation coefficient.
Multi-core processor and multiple CPU supportSpeed up simulations. “Split up” large simulations to run on multiple CPUs or cores and reduce simulation run time.
RISKOptimizerSolve problems with more accuracy than ever.
FeatureBenefitProfessional EditionIndustrial Edition
Optimization under uncertaintyCombines Monte Carlo simulation with sophisticated optimization techniques to find optimal solutions to uncertain problems. Used for budgeting, allocation, scheduling, and more.
Efficient Frontier AnalysisEspecially useful in financial analysis, Efficient Frontiers determine the optimal return that can be expected from a portfolio at a given level of risk
Ranges for adjustable cells and constraintsStreamlined model setup and editing
Genetic algorithmsFind the best global solution while avoiding getting caught in local, “hill-climbing” solutions
Six solving methods, including GAs and OptQuestAlways have the best method for different types of problems
RISKOptimizer Watcher and Convergence MonitoringMonitor progress toward best solutions in real time
Overlay of Optimized vs Original DistributionCompare original output to optimized result to visually see improvements
Original, Best, Last model updatingInstantly see the effects of three solutions on your entire model

Frequently Asked Questions

What is risk analysis software?

Risk analysis software helps organizations identify, quantify, and manage uncertainty in business or project decisions. It uses methods like Monte Carlo simulation, sensitivity analysis, and scenario modeling to forecast outcomes, assess risk exposure, and support more confident, data-driven decision-making.

What is @RISK

@RISK is Lumivero’s leading Excel add-in for risk analysis using Monte Carlo simulation. It computes and tracks many different possible future scenarios and shows you the probability of each occurring. @RISK’s analytics guide your decision-making process to achieve the optimal outcome.

What can I do with @RISK?

With advanced features like Monte Carlo simulation that calculates all possible outcomes of scenarios and presentation-ready reports, you can use @RISK to: 

  • Structure complex decisions
  • Make predictions from data
  • Allocate limited resources
  • Plan better strategies
  • Communicate risk to others
  • Make critical decisions with confidence
  • And more!

Who is @RISK for?

If you need to make smart, strategic decisions in the face of uncertainty, @RISK is right for you.

Organizations across all industries are being asked to reduce risk while increasing margins and finding new opportunities for business growth. With @RISK, companies can navigate these evolving expectations and make strategic decisions with confidence.

Industries using @RISK include:

  • Energy and utilities
  • Insurance and reinsurance
  • Finance and banking
  • Manufacturing
  • Consumer goods
  • Construction and engineering
  • Aerospace and defense
  • Pharmaceuticals
  • Transportation and logistics
  • And more

Roles that benefit from @RISK include: Risk Analysts, Project Analysts, Portfolio Managers, Financial Analysts, Engineers, Operations Managers, Strategic Planners, and Decision Scientists.

How does @RISK use Monte Carlo simulation for risk analysis?

@RISK brings Monte Carlo simulation into Excel with a user-friendly interface. It repeatedly samples values from your input distributions and recalculates outputs thousands of times, generating a full range of possible scenarios and their probabilities. This shows not just what could happen, but how likely each outcome is.

How to run a Monte Carlo simulation in Excel with @RISK?

@RISK lets you define uncertain inputs as probability distributions, select outputs to analyze, and then run the simulation directly from the @RISK ribbon. The software automatically generates thousands of scenarios along with probability charts, sensitivity analyses, and clear reports—directly in Excel.

How does @RISK compare with other risk analysis tools or add-ins?

@RISK combines Excel-native ease of use with advanced Monte Carlo simulation, probability distributions, and powerful scenario analysis. With 35+ years of proven reliability, it also integrates with Predict!, turning spreadsheet simulations into governed risk processes with portfolio-level visibility across projects and programs.

How do I upgrade @RISK?

If you have a current maintenance contract, you’re eligible for a free upgrade to the latest release. Learn more about what’s new in the latest release and instructions for upgrading in the @RISK Knowledge Base.

What are the system requirements?

@RISK and the DecisionTools Suite are only compatible in a Windows environment.

What is Monte Carlo simulation?

Monte Carlo simulation is a method for modeling uncertainty. Instead of fixed values, you assign probability distributions to inputs. The model is recalculated thousands of times, producing a full range of possible outcomes and their likelihoods—helping you understand risks and make more confident decisions.

How do I learn @RISK?

There are several stages of learning all things @RISK. If you are new to the concepts of risk analysis with Monte Carlo simulation, the Getting Started Guide is a great start. If you understand quantitative risk analysis but need help with @RISK, in addition to this guide there are files available in Examples menu on the ribbon.

Transform Uncertainty into Opportunity with @RISK

Discover the globally trusted tool that empowers you to manage risk and make confident, data-driven decisions.

Request a demo

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